Gita Gopinath, the International Monetary Fund’s Deputy Boss had said that headline inflation has probably peaked but some of “the more sticky components” such as the services sector are still trending up in some countries.
She added that 2023 will be a “tough year.”
“The new IMF forecasts for the global economy, due at the end of the month, will be “in the ballpark of what we put out in October,” she said.
“After going through about three rounds of downgrades at least we don’t have a worse outcome we’re looking at this time around.”
“While we have global growth bottoming out this year, it improves towards the second half of this year and then into 2024,” Madam Gopinath added.
The comments on Wednesday, January 18, 2023, were in line with the general tone of cautious optimism at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
On the opening day of the gathering of the business and financial elite, Chinese Vice Premier Liu, projected that the world’s second-largest economy will normalise as Covid-19 restrictions ease.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, speaking with Bloomberg Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait in Berlin on Tuesday January 17, 2023 said he’s convinced Germany will avoid recession this year and that he is in talks with allies about sending battle tanks to Ukraine.
European Central Bank Governing Council member, Francois Villeroy de Galhau ,said the euro region should avoid a recession this year and that both headline and core inflation “will probably peak in this semester.”